Baseball Perspectus' post season odds calculations:
The Cardinals odds of winning the National League Central crown: 99.02665 percent
The Cardinals odds of winning the National League Wild Card berth: 0.12804 percent
The Cardinals odds of making the playoffs by division title or WC: 99.15469 percent
The Cubs odds of winning the National League Central crown: 0.88358 percent
The Cubs chances of winning the National League wild card berth: 1.69959 percent
The Cubs odds of making the playoffs by division title or WC: 2.58317 percent
Not to go too deep into the number, but the projections, based on simulating the rest of the season 1 million times, predicts:
-- The Cardinals will finish the season and 93-68 with the Cubs wrapped up at 83-79.
-- The current division leaders in the National and American leagues are heavily favored to hang on for the title, while the Rockies are given a 58.42488 percent chance of winning the wild card. The Giants are givien a 22.46462 percent chance of snagging the wild card berth.
- In the American League, the Red Sox are given a 73.38992 percent chance of winning the wild card with Tampa Bay having a 14.63452 percent chance of making the playoffs with the wild card Rangers having a 6.38379 chance of winning the wild card.
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