MLB Network personality Greg Amsinger predicted this afternoon on ESPN Radio that the St. Louis Cardinals by this time next season would part with some of their young talent to land a superstar player.
That player, he said, would likely be long-discussed Colorado Rockies shortstop Troy Tulowitzki.
Amsinger said he believes that both Trevor Rosenthal and Carlos Martinez will make the jump from the bullpen to the starting rotation next year, potentially elbowing out two of the current starters out. So the Redbirds would use their surplus pitching as the foundation of a trade with the Rockies.
Newly-signed shortstop Jhonny Peralta would likely move to third base under such a scenario with Matt Carpenter returning to second.
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I don't see that deal going down because, according to Fox Sports reports, the Cardinals offered Colorado Shelby miller, Matt Adams and a prospect for Tulo last season and couldn't get the deal done. Why would we believe replacing Miller with Joe Kelly and Lance Lynn would push the deal over the top?
The talk out of Colorado last season was that the Rockies wanted both Allen Craig and Matt Carpenter in the package. And I couldn't see giving those two and a starting pitcher for a shortstop who will be turning 31 with six years and $114 million left on his contract as a good deal for St. Louis no matter how you slice it.
I don't doubt that the Rockies, who are projected to have a payroll under $75 million this season, will eventually trade a shortstop who would represent a quarter of their payroll. But if Rosenthal and Martinez both end up in the rotation, it seems the Cardinals would need a new closer more than they need tp try to upgrade at shortstop for a second off-season in a row.