Chiefs

Three numbers that mattered in Kansas City Chiefs’ 27-24 loss vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Here are three numbers that helped determine the result of the Kansas City Chiefs’ 27-24 loss to the Bengals on Sunday afternoon at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati.

10%

The Chiefs had a 24-20 lead with the ball in the fourth quarter when one of the game’s most significant plays happened.

Travis Kelce caught a pass and — after fighting for yards — had the ball stripped by Cincinnati defenders for a fumble. Germaine Pratt recovered and swung the Bengals’ win probability from 24% to 34% according to rbsdm.com — a positive swing for the Bengals of 10 percentage points.

6.5

In a low-possession game, KC’s defense simply didn’t do enough to slow down an impressive Cincinnati offense.

The Bengals averaged 6.5 yards per play — a total that helped the team score 27 points on its first seven possessions while icing the game on the eighth drive.

16%

KC had a final chance to tie it up late down 27-24, but after a drive stalled, coach Andy Reid had Harrison Butker attempt a 55-yard field goal.

That attempt sailed wide right for a massive moment. The Chiefs’ odds of winning went from 37% to 21% according to rsbdm.com — the biggest shift in the contest while dropping the Chiefs 16 percentage points.

KC wouldn’t get the ball back as Cincinnati played keep-away to secure the home win.

This story was originally published December 4, 2022 at 6:28 PM with the headline "Three numbers that mattered in Kansas City Chiefs’ 27-24 loss vs. Cincinnati Bengals."

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Jesse Newell
The Kansas City Star
Jesse Newell covered the Chiefs for The Star until August 2025. He won an EPPY for best sports blog and previously was named top beat writer in his circulation by AP’s Sports Editors. His interest in sports analytics comes from his math teacher father, who handed out rulers to Trick-or-Treaters each year.
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